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  1. Default The Psychology of Dealing With Choppy Markets

    Stocks have traded in a volatile range lately, with significant moves frequently reversed. This has proven challenging for those looking for trends.

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    If we think of markets as auction processes, we can identify volatile and non-volatile markets based upon the amount of participation in the marketplace. We can also identify trending and non-trending markets based upon the relative balance of buyers and sellers.

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    Our job is to read the auction process and adapt to the conditions before us. We are in a very different environment than several months ago. When we have a volatile range, we have large participants active as both buyers and sellers. The move in rates and uncertainty over central bank direction has created a different auction process.

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    How do we talk to ourselves about market conditions? Do we frame the situation as a challenge and as a problem to be solved, or do we frame ourselves as victims of unknowable market forces and passively hope that things will change in our favor?

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    Victim self-talk is the surest way of disabling ourselves when opportunities arise. How we frame situations determines how we respond to them...and how we will be prepared for the future.

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    The move in rates and uncertainty over central bank direction has created a different auction process.

 

 

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